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Psychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Psychiatry and Clinical Neurosciences's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Life-Stage Heterogeneity in the Mental Health Treatment Gap: An Unsupervised Machine Learning Profiling of Symptomatic US Adults

Forday, W. L.

2026-07-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358030 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Despite a rising global psychiatric burden, a treatment gap persists where the majority of symptomatic individuals remain unmedicated. Traditional epidemiological analyses treat this untreated population as a single, uniform block, obscuring specific barriers to care. This study uses an unsupervised machine learning pipeline to identify distinct socio-behavioural and biological sub-populations within the untreated cohort to guide targeted public health interventions. Methods Data were pooled from the 2015-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cycles (N=11,848 total adult respondents). A symptomatic cohort of 3,075 individuals experiencing daily or weekly anxiety or depression symptoms was isolated, excluding severe liver pathology outliers ("GGT"[≥]80" U/L" ). A 22-feature matrix combining continuous clinical biomarkers (systolic blood pressure, waist circumference, HbA1c) and categorical social variables was projected using Factor Analysis of Mixed Data (FAMD). Latent sub-populations were identified via Gaussian Mixture Modelling (GMM), optimized by the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Results The broad baseline population revealed a substantial mental health burden, with 30.4% reporting active psychiatric symptoms, of whom 71.6% were entirely unmedicated. The GMM pipeline successfully isolated three distinct sub-populations (k=3) separated by age, clinical strain, and treatment rates: Cluster 0 (Mature Adults, mean age 55.03): high psychiatric severity (34.1% severe untreated), central obesity, and hypertensive strain (135.82 mmHg), with 64.1% untreated despite frequent primary care contact; Cluster 1 (Working Professionals, mean age 38.38): highly educated, female-dominated (70.5%), with 77.7% untreated driven by moderate distress; Cluster 2 (Emerging Youth, mean age 18.49): a highly vulnerable late-adolescent group with a staggering 90.2% untreated rate. Conclusion The unmedicated symptomatic population is highly diverse and segmented by life stage. These profiles show that the treatment gap is driven by age-specific barriers, specifically workforce-age symptom masking and late-adolescent developmental transitions. Closing this deficit requires shifting from uniform public health approaches toward targeted interventions, such as digital peer support networks for youth and integrated primary care screenings for older adults.

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A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled single-ascending-dose study to identify a non-hallucinogenic dose of psilocybin in healthy adults.

Levy-Cooperman, N.; Sellers, E.; Glue, P.; Szeto, I.; Brown, D.; Jarecki-Smith, J.; Tyler, W. J.; McDonnell, M. B.

2026-07-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358273 medRxiv
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Psilocybin shows therapeutic promise for several psychiatric disorders, but the acute perceptual and cognitive alterations produced by conventional doses (10-25 mg) require in-clinic supervision, which limits scalability. Whether the therapeutically relevant pharmacology of psilocybin can be separated from its hallucinogenic activity remains unresolved. To address this gap, we conducted a Phase 1, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single ascending dose study to characterize the safety, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of low doses of psilocybin. Fifty-six healthy adults received a single oral dose of psilocybin (0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 or 4.0 mg) or matching placebo across seven sequential cohorts, with each dose escalation reviewed by a Drug Safety Review Committee. All participants completed the study with no serious adverse events or discontinuations. Treatment-emergent adverse events were comparable to placebo and most prominently arose as somnolence. Plasma psilocin appeared rapidly with a median time to maximum concentration < 1 h with dose-proportional exposure and a short terminal half-life. Subjective drug effects were dose-related and became distinguishable from placebo at doses at or below 2.5 mg. Peak subjective ratings increased with dose, while any signs of hallucinations or altered-states scores remained low and not different than placebo. Psychophysiological engagement was confirmed by a clear dose-dependent pupillary dilation while cognitive performance (attention, vigilance, working memory, impulse control) showed no dose-dependent decrement and state anxiety did not increase at any dose. These findings indicate that the perceptible pharmacology of psilocybin can be dissociated from significant perceptual alterations and cognitive impairment at low doses. They further support controlled investigations in outpatient Phase 2 studies evaluating the safety and feasibility of repeated, self-administered low-dose psilocybin. ClinicalTrials.gov #NCT07710027

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The topology of adolescent mental health

Jelen, M. B.; Mousley, A.; Fakhar, K.; Trachtenberg, E.; He, Y.; Kohler, R.; Aggarwal, S.; Warrier, V.; Bzdok, D.; Yip, S. W.; Astle, D. E.

2026-07-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357465 medRxiv
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The increased vulnerability to mental health problems in adolescence is frequently reported but poorly understood, hampered by a rigid diagnostic system which fails to capture intertwining symptoms and only loosely aligns with biological axes of variability. Here, we reconceptualised the mental health symptoms of young adolescents in the ABCD cohort (N=11862) as a latent topology of overlapping symptom dimensions, using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm to establish how transdiagnostic dimensions co-occur and overlap within individuals. Combining this with a novel classification approach, we delineated zones within this landscape, within which specific profiles of symptoms were robustly represented. These data-driven profiles were leveraged to establish associated resting-state functional connectivity and genetic characteristics. In doing so we recaptured the commonly reported p-factor axis as well as further symptom-subtype dimensions. Gene ontology analysis revealed that shared neurobiological and cellular mechanisms embedded in both the genome and transcriptome may confer risk for psychopathology.

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The Shape of a Final Message: An Emotional Landscape in the Language of Suicide

Pestian, J. P.; Jacobson, D. A.; Pedapati, E. V.; Mendonca, E. A.; McMahon, B. H.; Ive, J.; Glauser, T. A.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358230 medRxiv
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The emotional content of suicide notes is typically examined using categorical coding, where each labeled passage is treated in isolation from its surrounding language. In contrast, dimensional models of psychopathology propose that affective content varies along continuous gradients. We evaluated this proposition directly. Excerpts from 884 annotated suicide notes were embedded in a semantic space defined solely by their linguistic properties, and we investigated whether human-assigned emotion labels changed smoothly across this space. They did: affective tone showed clear spatial autocorrelation (Moran's $I = 0.18$, $z = 19.68$, $p < 0.001$), an effect that replicated across three different encoders and remained after removing all within-note dependencies. Emotions occupied recognizable yet overlapping regions rather than forming distinct clusters and varied substantially in how tightly they were concentrated: love and hopelessness appeared with similar frequency, but love was far more localized ($z = 15.7$ versus $10.8$). Among all emotions, hopelessness was the most linguistically diffuse, implying that a single categorical label is capturing multiple, qualitatively different manifestations of suicidal distress.

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Multi-Omics Modeling Reveals Peripheral Signatures of Non-Suicidal Self-Injury in Adolescents

Zhao, F.; Bao, Y.; Liu, W.; Liu, T.; Wang, W.; Liu, Z.; Lei, X.; Xia, X.; Cheng, W.; Lin, G. N.

2026-07-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.20.26358487 medRxiv
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Non-suicidal self-injury (NSSI) is common among adolescents with emotional disorders, yet biological indicators of current NSSI status remain limited. We developed a genome-aware multi-omics modeling framework in 107 adolescents with emotional disorders, including 53 without NSSI and 54 with current NSSI. The model integrated metabolomic, inflammatory, clinical blood and genome-derived features, with polygenic risk score and rare variant burden used as genetic-context variables. The fusion model achieved the strongest classification performance (mean AUC = 0.811) and outperformed single-omics alternatives, indicating that NSSI status was better represented by distributed multi-omics patterns than by a single biomarker layer. Repeated modeling prioritized 42 stable features, many of which were not significant in conventional univariate testing. Group-specific network reconstruction further revealed peripheral reorganization, including convergence of non-NSSI modules into an NSSI-associated module that linked inflammatory recruitment with weaker immune-communication, repair and support-related signals. Exploratory MRI, gut-related and stress-endocrine analyses provided additional biological anchors, while a compact sentinel marker panel translated the full model into clinically readable profiles. These findings support a distributed, genome-aware peripheral state associated with current NSSI and provide a framework for future validation of multi-omics state markers in adolescent emotional disorders.

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An Initial Genetic Correlation Analysis of Externalizing Behavior and Neuroimaging Phenotypes in the ABCD Cohort

Wei, M.; Peng, Q.

2026-07-15 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.13.26358013 medRxiv
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Adolescent externalizing behavior is a major risk factor for later substance use and other psychiatric outcomes. Understanding its genetic architecture and its relationship with brain imaging phenotypes requires scalable genome-wide methods applied to youth cohorts. Using data from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study, we implemented a pipeline for genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of longitudinally measured externalizing traits and multimodal neuroimaging-derived phenotypes (IDPs). We performed quality-controlled genotype processing and constructed harmonized phenotype and covariate datasets. GWAS analyses were conducted using REGENIE in a two-step framework, with Step 1 ridge regression models trained on LD-pruned variants and Step 2 association testing performed genome-wide. Externalizing traits measured at baseline and summarized as longitudinal means and slopes, together with approximately 200 IDPs measured at baseline and summarized as longitudinal means and slopes, were analyzed. We further constructed a custom linkage disequilibrium (LD) reference panel using unrelated individuals and computed LD scores using LDSC. Genetic correlations between externalizing traits and imaging phenotypes were estimated using LD Score Regression. This exploratory study systematically evaluated genome-wide genetic correlations between regional cortical morphology and externalizing phenotypes in adolescence. Although several associations reached nominal significance, none remained significant after correction for multiple comparisons. These findings should not be interpreted as demonstrating an absence of shared genetic architecture. Rather, the precision of the estimates was constrained by the available imaging GWAS sample size, uncertainty in SNP-heritability estimates, and the large number of regional comparisons. Larger imaging-genetics samples and independent replication will be required to determine whether modest or regionally specific genetic correlations exist.

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Identifying and Characterising Common Genetic Differences in Schizophrenia and Bipolar Disorder

Willcocks, I. R.; Richards, A.; Legge, S. E.; Holmans, P.; Di Florio, A.; Cardno, A. G.; O'donovan, M. C.; Owen, M. J.; Pardinas, A. F.; Walters, J. T.

2026-07-19 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358311 medRxiv
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Schizophrenia and bipolar disorder are diagnostically distinct categories that overlap substantially in clinical features and genetic aetiology. Understanding genetic variants that contribute liability specifically to each disorder can offer insights into biological processes that differentiate them. Here we used Case-Case GWAS (CC-GWAS) to identify common genetic variants differentially associated with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, analysing 67,390 schizophrenia cases and 41,917 bipolar disorder cases. We identified 19 genome-wide significant loci, of which 16 (84%) demonstrated divergent genetic effects with risk alleles showing opposite directions of association between disorders. The CC-GWAS summary statistics had detectable disorder-differentiating heritability (10.27%, SE=0.01) and showed genetic correlations indicating that SCZ-differentiating alleles were associated with lower educational attainment, lower cognitive performance, and increased risk of ADHD, anorexia, autism, BD1 (though not BD2), cannabis use disorder, and OCD. Four loci showed divergent effects despite not reaching genome-wide significance in either individual disorder GWAS, demonstrating enhanced power to detect opposite-direction effects. Functional annotation identified 102 mapped genes significantly enriched for expression across all 13 tested brain regions, with no significant enrichment in peripheral tissues, and gene set enrichment analysis implicated neuronal projection and synaptic compartments as the strongest biological themes differentiating the two disorders. Polygenic risk scores derived from these disorder-differentiating variants were associated with earlier age at onset and more severe negative symptoms in schizophrenia, consistent with these variants marking neurodevelopmental dimensions of illness. Our findings provide targets for understanding pathogenic differences between schizophrenia and bipolar disorder and demonstrate that genuine divergent genetic effects exist beyond the substantial shared liability.

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A Culturally Embedded Augmented Reality Task as a Neurocognitive Biomarker of Executive Function in Schizophrenia

Chatthong, W.; Rueankam, M.; Khemthong, S.

2026-07-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358053 medRxiv
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Executive function (EF) deficits are central features of schizophrenia and strongly influence long-term functional outcomes. Conventional cognitive assessments often lack ecological validity and cultural relevance. This study introduces the Luk Chup Augmented Reality (LCAR) tool a video guided, clay modeling task delivered through wearable AR that integrates culturally familiar activity with realtime neurophysiological monitoring. Thirty individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia (mean age = 38.9, SD. = 7.15 years) completed a series of modeling and memory tasks using LCAR while undergoing quantitative EEG (QEEG). Task duration and theta/beta power were analyzed across procedural and color shape memory phases. Memory phases took significantly longer to complete and were associated with decreased lateral prefrontal theta and increased frontal midline theta activity (Fz, Cz), indicating higher EF demand. A repeated-measures ANOVA revealed significant condition, site, and interaction effects on theta power. The LCAR tool shows promise as a culturally grounded, dual-mode assessment of EF in schizophrenia. It offers a novel integration of performance-based and neurophysiological metrics that may inform future interventions in psychiatric rehabilitation.

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Revisiting the link between childhood adversity and stress-sensitive brain regions in psychosis and bipolar disorder: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Petrova, T.; Tennifjord, A.; Cavero, D.; Holohan, A.; Kizilkaya, M.; Ebrahimian-Roodbari, A.; Lepreux, I.; Reimer, M.; Sideli, L.; Gadelrab, R.; Trotta, G.; Rodriguez, V.; Andreassen, O.; Klauser, P.; Alameda, L.; Aas, M.

2026-07-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358306 medRxiv
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Background Brain abnormalities related to childhood adversity (CA) have been reported across clinical presentations in psychotic disorder (PD) and bipolar disorder (BD). This systematic review and meta-analysis examined gray matter volume (GMV) alterations linked to CA in PD and BD. Methods A PRISMA-compliant systematic review was conducted (PROSPERO ID: CRD42022351133). The EMBASE, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO databases were searched from inception to June 2024 for studies investigating CA and structural brain imaging in PD and BD. Study quality was assessed with the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS). Data were extracted and synthesized accounting for sex differences and CA subtypes with brain findings categorized by the presence and direction of associations. Meta-analyses were performed for hippocampal and amygdala volumes. Results In the systematic review (k = 29), 3,056 participants with PD and BD (mean age = 36.6; SD =16.1; 47% female), published between 2011 and 2023, were included. Study quality was fair, with high heterogeneity. Most studies reported significant negative associations between CA and GMV, especially in prefrontal regions, while findings for the hippocampus and amygdala were largely null or inconsistent. Meta-analyses of a study subset identified no significant association between CA and hemisphere-specific and combined volumes of the hippocampus (k = 5; p [&ge;] 8805; 0.66) or amygdala (k = 4; p [&ge;] 8805; 0.87). Conclusion CA was not consistently associated with hippocampal or amygdala volume alterations in PD and BD. More consistent evidence emerged for reduced GMV in prefrontal regions, suggesting that neurobiological impact of CA may be more robustly captured at the cortical level.

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Prompt Engineering Limitations: Preliminary Evaluation of Large Language Models for Psychotherapy Safety

Ngo, N.; Dao, G.; Sano, A.

2026-07-18 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358261 medRxiv
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Large Language Models are increasingly used in consumer-facing mental health tools, many of which claim that prompt engineering alone can ensure safe therapeutic behavior. This study evaluates that assumption by testing 20 proprietary and open-source LLMs on high-risk psychiatric scenarios, using prompts grounded in behavioral therapy principles. Prompt engineering reduced some predictable risks, such as explicit endorsement of self-harm, but consistently failed in ambiguous or clinically nuanced situations. Models frequently validated harmful statements, colluded with hallucinations, minimized symptoms, or used stigmatizing language, including in the newest and largest models. These failures reflect structural limitations such as lack of memory, insufficient contextual reasoning, and training-related biases. Prompt engineering alone is therefore insufficient for safe AI-mediated psychotherapy; clinician-guided fine-tuning, integrated safety mechanisms, and system-level oversight will be required. This work provides early evidence motivating deeper clinician-led evaluation and safety-oriented model development.

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Aligning Reinforcement Learning with Clinical Practice for Safe Decision Support in Pediatric Sepsis

Bueso, F. G.; Wardle, R.; Manescu, P.; Spear, J.; Ray, S.; Peters, M.

2026-07-21 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.07.20.26358476 medRxiv
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Offline reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a promising framework for clinical decision support in sepsis, yet most existing studies focus exclusively on adult populations, leaving pediatric care largely unexplored despite important physiological and treatment differences. In this work, we develop offline RL policies for pediatric sepsis management in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) using a retrospective cohort of 2,229 episodes from Great Ormond Street Hospital (GOSH), formalized as finite horizon Markov Decision Process (MDP) with joint intravenous fluid and vasopressor actions. To better capture pediatric organ dysfunction dynamics, we incorporate Phoenix 8, a recently proposed pediatric sepsis severity score, as an intermediate reward shaping signal in addition to terminal 90 day mortality. We systematically vary the time step size (4, 8, and 12 hours) and reward structure (terminal 90 day mortality, with and without Phoenix 8 based intermediate shaping), and compare Double Deep Q Networks (DDQN), Conservative Q Learning (CQL), and a behavior cloning (BC) model of clinician practice. CQL consistently exhibits stable learning dynamics and favorable Fitted Q Evaluation estimates, while DDQN is prone to overestimation and instability, particularly at finer temporal resolutions and with dense rewards. CQL policies achieve high action-level agreement with historical clinician decisions for both fluids and vasopressors and reproduce clinically plausible escalation patterns across sepsis severity strata, whereas DDQN policies diverge more frequently toward implausible dosing. Temporal aggregation emerges as a key regularizer: moving from 4 hour to 8 hour bins shortens horizons, smooths reward noise, and improves stability without erasing clinically meaningful dynamics, with 8 hour binning providing the best trade off between policy performance and granularity. Our findings highlight time step size as a core design choice in offline RL for healthcare and provide empirical evidence that alternatives beyond the conventional 4 hour setup can enhance stability and safety while preserving clinical interpretability.

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Elevated BrainAGE precedes cognitive impairment and improves prediction of future cognitive decline

Moradi, E.; Dahnke, R.; Gaser, C.; Rikkonen, T.; Kroger, H.; Vaananen, S.; Solomon, A.; Sund, R.; Tohka, J.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358150 medRxiv
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Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) derived brain age varies substantially between individuals, but it remains unclear whether early deviations from normal brain ageing precede future cognitive decline and whether they provide predictive value beyond conventional MRI measures. Here, we investigated whether MRI-derived brain age gap estimation (BrainAGE) identifies early structural brain ageing differences among cognitively normal individuals who later develop mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia. We analysed longitudinal structural MRI data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and replicated the main findings in the population-based Kuopio Osteoporosis Risk Factor and Prevention Study (OSTPRE). Individuals who later converted to MCI or dementia had higher BrainAGE values several years before diagnosis and, in ADNI, showed steeper longitudinal increases than stable individuals. Elevated BrainAGE values were also associated with increased risk of future conversion to MCI in cognitively healthy individuals and faster subsequent memory decline. Cross-sectional differences and the association between BrainAGE and risk of future conversion were replicated in OSTPRE. Importantly, adding BrainAGE to models including demographic, APOE4, cognitive, and MRI-derived measures consistently improved prediction of future cognitive outcomes, with the greatest benefit observed for individuals who converted after longer follow-up. These findings show that structural brain ageing begins to diverge years before the onset of MCI. BrainAGE captures this early divergence, providing complementary information beyond conventional structural MRI measures that may improve the early identification of cognitively normal individuals at increased risk of future cognitive decline when integrated with other biomarkers.

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Reconsidering the case against risk prediction in self-harm: routinely collected health data distinguishes groups at higher and lower risk of adverse outcomes following paracetamol overdose

Oxley, J.; Schölin, L.; Brennan, G.; Anand, A.; Brett, J.; Eddleston, M.; Humphries, C.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358127 medRxiv
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Background. UK clinical guidance recommends that structured risk prediction tools and risk stratification should not be used in self-harm, to predict suicide or determine who is offered treatment. Underpinning this position is the premise that routinely collected health data contain no useful predictive signal, which has received little direct scrutiny. Objective. To test whether routinely collected electronic health record data can distinguish groups at higher and lower risk of severe outcomes following paracetamol overdose. Methods. We analysed 4,095 adults presenting to NHS Lothian emergency departments with paracetamol overdose (2017-2023). Elastic-net logistic regression was fitted to 37 routinely collected electronic health record features to predict a composite of death or mental health inpatient admission at 0-7, 8-30 and 31-365 days following attendance, evaluated on a held-out 20% test set with bootstrapping. Findings. Events occurred in 5.5% of patients at 0-7 days, 2.0% at 8-30 days and 7.9% at 31-365 days, dominated by mental health admission. Bootstrap AUROC 95% confidence intervals lay above 0.5 in every window (0.65-0.82, 0.63-0.90, 0.71-0.85): models ranked patients better than chance. Calibration slopes (1.04, 1.14, 1.07) were close to one. Ranking drew primarily on mental health-related features. Conclusions. Routinely collected health data carried predictive signal for severe outcomes after paracetamol overdose, although discrimination fell short of what is needed for individual-level clinical use. Clinical implications. These models are not proposed for clinical deployment; however, treating risk prediction as a settled question will redirect research efforts, potentially excluding this patient population from machine learning advances driving improvements in care in other medical specialties.

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Exploring Psychological and Biological mediators between Childhood Adversity and Psychosis: An updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Kumar, G.; Lepreux, I.; Bici, L.; Mustafa, F.; Abella, M.; Trotta, G.; Aas, M.; Sideli, L.; MacCabe, J. H.; Twumasi, R.; Diederen, K.; Mechelli, A.; Rickard, M.; Carr, E.; Eromona, W.; Rossi, R.; Fares-Otero, N. E.; Hardy, A.; Alameda, L.

2026-07-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.19.26358426 medRxiv
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Background: Childhood adversity (CA) has been identified as one of the most robust risk factors for psychotic disorders; several treatable mediating mechanisms have been proposed. Aims: To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis examining mediating pathways linking CA and psychosis. Method: This PRISMA-compliant systematic review (PROSPERO: CRD42024542972). consisted of a search conducted in January 2026 on Ovid (PsycINFO, Medline, and Embase) using search terms related to psychosis, CA, and mediation analyses. Evidence was appraised by calculating the percentage of the total effect mediated in each study, grouping mediators into meaningful groups. When possible, meta-analyses using two-stage meta-analytic structural equation modelling (METASEM) were conducted. Results: 117 studies were included (54 in clinical samples, 59 in non-clinical samples, and four studies in both clinical and non-clinical samples). 107 studies examined psychological mediators and 12 examined biological. The median percentages of total effect mediated across all analyses per mediator family were: 49% for dissociation (k = 24), 45% for psychosocial stressors (k = 6), 37.9% for negative schemas (k = 23), 35.2% for post-traumatic symptoms (k = 10), 31.5% for depressive symptoms (k = 14), 27.8% for anxiety (k = 11), 27.1% for attachment styles (k = 12), and 8.7% for mentalization domains (k = 5). Meta-analyses confirmed a robust mediating effect of dissociation (k = 7; N = 2143; indirect effect (I.E) =0.42 [0.17, 0.66] on psychosis; 50.49%), on delusions (k =7; N = 1053; I.E = 0.36, [0.27, 0.46]; 46.44%]) and on hallucinations (k =10; N = 5705; I.E = 0.28 [0.20, 0.36]; 57.59%). Robust mediation via depression (k =5; N= 5028; indirect effect= 0.33 [0.31, 0.35]; 31.05%) and negative schemas of the association between trauma and psychosis broadly defined (k = 7; N=10791; I.E= 0.26 [0.17, 0.35]; 26.36%) was also observed. High heterogeneity was observed across all meta-analyses. Fewer studies examined biological mediators, preventing quantitative synthesis. Conclusions: Childhood adversity impacts psychosis through psychosocial mediators, particularly dissociation. Further work is required to on the potential role of biological mechanisms and its interplay with psychological mechanisms.

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Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis: Do Youth-Reported Psychosis Symptoms Predict Later Mental Health Diagnosis?

Shah, J. N.; Ameis, S. H.; Donato, C. A.; Wei, I.; Dabagh, Y. A.; Cleverley, K.; Courtney, D. B.; Foussias, G.; Kozloff, N.; Voineskos, A. N.; Wang, W.; Dickie, E. W.

2026-07-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357957 medRxiv
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Objective Psychosis spectrum symptoms (PSS) are common among children and youth. These symptoms may be clinically significant as studies indicate a heightened risk of mental health disorders, in general, as well as psychotic disorders, specifically, in youth that endorse PSS. This systematic review and meta-analysis investigates the longitudinal association between PSS in children and youth and subsequent mental health diagnosis. Methods A comprehensive search of Ovid Medline, PsycINFO, and EMBASE databases was conducted to identify longitudinal studies that: (i) assess PSS at a baseline timepoint, (ii) in individuals under 25 years, and (iii) assess mental health disorder diagnosis using a structured assessment at a later time point in the same sample. We conducted a meta-analysis and calculated pooled odds ratios (ORs) for mental health and psychotic disorders using random-effects models. Post-hoc meta-regressions were performed to examine the influence of a number of moderators on the relationship between earlier recorded PSS and subsequent mental health disorders or psychotic disorders. Results The search yielded 41 eligible studies of which 25 were included in the meta-analysis. Most included studies assessed PSS using brief self-report measures and recruited their samples from clinical or community settings. Among children and youth without an identified mental health diagnosis at baseline assessment, baseline PSS were associated with a 2-fold (OR = 2.07, CI = 1.61 - 2.66, I2 = 86.92%, p < 0.0001) increased risk of meeting diagnostic criteria for subsequent mental health disorder diagnosis and a 3-fold increased risk (OR = 3.11, CI = 2.11 - 4.58, (I2 = 60.93%, p < 0.0090) of meeting diagnostic criteria for a subsequent psychotic disorder diagnosis with a minimum 1 year follow-up time from baseline assessment. Meta-regression analysis indicated that study quality and sample size explained a substantial proportion of between-study heterogeneity for psychotic disorder outcomes. Conclusions Our results suggest that administration of simple self-report measures of PSS in both clinical and community settings may be helpful to identify children and youth at higher risk of subsequently meeting criteria for a mental disorder generally, and for a severe mental illness (i.e., psychotic disorder), specifically. Future longitudinal studies should focus on improving study design characteristics to increase confidence in identified longitudinal associations. The results of our work suggests that integration of self-report measures of PSS may be useful in a variety of settings to identify youth at increased risk of subsequent mental illness.

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Autism Research at a Crossroads: Global Progress, Persistent Gaps, and Future Pathways: A Bibliometric Analysis

zhong, Q.; Chen, L.; Ji, Y.; Zhu, F.; Zou, X.

2026-07-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358066 medRxiv
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Background The global prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) has significantly increased over the past two decades. Despite substantial research advances, critical aspects, including etiology, diagnostic biomarkers, and pharmacological interventions, remain incompletely elucidated. This persistent knowledge gap warrants systematic mapping of the field's evolution to inform future research priorities. Methods A bibliometric analysis of ASD-related publications indexed in Web of Science was conducted from January 2020 to May 2025. Following a systematic deduplication process, original articles, reviews, case reports, and clinical trials were included in the analysis. The analytical framework comprised co-authorship networks, institutional collaboration patterns, national research contributions, and keyword co-occurrence structures, all of which were examined using CiteSpace (version 5.8.R3) and VOSviewer. Results After deduplication, 8,162 publications (January 2020-May 2025) were analyzed. The annual output grew steadily, confirming ASD as a sustained priority in neuroscience. Research remains academia-driven, led by the United States, with China as the second-largest contributor. Chinese institutions place greater emphasis on mechanistic and developmental phenotyping, which aligns with national priorities. These studies maintain strong methodological rigor, and their growing volume underscores the central role of ASD in translational neuroscience. Conclusion Future research on ASD should focus on strengthening case identification, refining clinical phenotyping, and expanding large-scale cohort studies to advance our understanding of its etiology and identify reliable diagnostic biomarkers. It is equally important to develop and evaluate targeted interventions for core symptoms and integrate telemedicine into service delivery models. A critical yet understudied priority is improving the quality of life for autistic individuals and their families, an area in which research globally, including in China, requires greater depth and consistency. With China's growing investment in autism research, it is well-positioned to contribute to these pressing international challenges.

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Exploration of the molecular origins of sex-specific and temporal comorbidity patterns in dementia: insights from the Austrian claims data

Kovacevic, V.; Basaragin, B.; Kovacevic, J.; Zecevic, A.; Danilo Lombardo, S.; Dervic, E.

2026-07-16 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357961 medRxiv
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Dementia is a progressive condition that impairs cognitive processes such as memory, decision making, and the ability to manage daily activities. Recent estimates suggest that more than half of all dementia cases could be preventable by addressing their risk factors, including disease comorbidities such as diabetes and vision loss. Yet, we lack a comprehensive molecular map of dementia comorbidities. In this work, we analyzed Austrian nationwide hospital claims data, comprising 13 million hospital stays from 2015 to 2019, to systematically assess dementia-related risk across disease comorbidity patterns, covering both their molecular relationships and their epidemiological overrepresentation. We identified disease trajectories occurring before and at the time of dementia diagnosis, revealing both sex-specific and shared comorbidity patterns. Overall, we identified 51 potential risk factors, with a prominent contribution from endocrine and metabolic disorders. While Parkinson's disease emerged as a strong molecularly related driver of dementia, we also identified emerging and previously under chracterized risk factors, including vitamin D deficiency. This integrative framework provides a comprehensive view of dementia associated disease networks and identifies novel, potentially modifiable risk factors. These results offer new opportunities for targeted prevention strategies and advance our understanding of the complex interplay between comorbidities and dementia development.

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Characterizing the impact of plasma protein levels on human brain structure and disorders leveraging integrative multi-omics analysis

Ayubcha, C.; Dennis, E.; Bhattacharyya, U.; John, J.; Lam, M.; Lencz, T.; Ge, T.; Chen, C.-Y.

2026-07-15 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.13.26358006 medRxiv
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With recent advances in high-throughput proteomic technologies, population-scale plasma proteomics datasets, often linked to extensive genetic and phenotypic information, have become increasingly accessible. Yet the relationships between circulating protein levels, brain imaging phenotypes, and risk for neurological and psychiatric disorders remain largely unexplored. Proteome-wide association studies offer a promising approach for elucidating biological mechanisms that connect genetic variation to complex brain-related traits and diseases. In this study, we integrated protein quantitative trait loci (pQTLs) from the two largest plasma proteomic resources (the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project [UKB-PPP] and Ferkingstad et al. [deCODE]) with genome-wide association studies of brain imaging-derived phenotypes in UK Biobank using Mendelian randomization and colocalization analyses. We identified 120 cis and 20 trans associations between plasma proteins and imaging phenotypes and validated these findings using brain tissue-derived proteomic and transcriptomic datasets. Multivariable Mendelian randomization revealed eleven plasma proteins (coding genes APOE, ARL3, MICB, NSF, RHOC, RSPO3, ENPP2, BTN2A1, EIF2AK3, MRVI1, and OPLAH) with significant direct effects on the risk of Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia. Single-cell expression and pathway enrichment analyses further revealed cell-type-specific effects and distinct biological processes underlying these protein-disease associations. Together, these findings demonstrate robust links between plasma protein variation and brain structure, delineate protein-disease pathways, and highlight the cellular and molecular mechanisms that contribute to neurobiological diversity and pathology.

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Suicide Attempt Risk in Autism: A National EHR Study of 2.3 Million Individuals

Baker, M.; Virtosu, M.; Lam, W. Y.; De Lacy, N.

2026-07-18 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358168 medRxiv
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Background: Suicide attempts (SA) are elevated in individuals with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), but population-level data characterizing how SA prevalence varies across demographic and clinical subgroups - at the scale and granularity needed to inform evidence-based risk stratification - have been largely unavailable. This study examines SA prevalence across sex, age group, psychiatric comorbidity type, and substance use disorder subtype in the largest real-world ASD cohort to date. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional analysis using Epic Cosmos electronic health record data from 2,311,171 individuals with ASD identified by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes, spanning 2016-2025. SA prevalence was calculated with Wilson score 95% confidence intervals. Modified Poisson regression with robust variance estimation was used to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) for sex, age group, and psychiatric comorbidity. Unadjusted prevalence ratios (uPRs) were calculated separately for individual comorbidity types and substance use disorder subtypes. Results: Overall SA prevalence was 1.7% (38,160 individuals). Females showed higher SA prevalence than males (2.9% vs. 1.2%; aPR 1.61, 95% CI 1.35-1.92). SA prevalence peaked in the 15-24 age group overall (aPR 5.14, 95% CI 3.62-7.29), with sex-stratified analyses revealing that females peaked earlier (15-24 years; aPR 4.33, 95% CI 4.23-4.43) than males (25-34 years; aPR 6.08, 95% CI 5.05-7.31) - a sex-specific divergence in the timing of peak SA prevalence not previously documented in ASD. Having at least one psychiatric comorbidity was associated with a 30-fold higher SA prevalence (aPR 30.56, 95% CI 26.03-35.89), with the effect stronger in females (aPR 36.54, 95% CI 31.04-43.01) than males (aPR 27.77, 95% CI 22.65-34.06). Among comorbidity subtypes, substance-related disorders showed the highest crude SA prevalence (16.9%; uPR 134.20, 95% CI 67.68-266.10). Subtype-level characterization revealed SA prevalence ranging from 19.7% to 24.3% across all five substance use disorder subtypes examined, with stimulant use disorder showing the highest unadjusted prevalence ratio of any subtype (uPR 196.11, 95% CI 100.63-382.20). Conclusion: SA prevalence in ASD is markedly elevated relative to the general population and varies meaningfully by sex, age, and comorbidity profile in clinically important ways. Females carry a disproportionate SA burden relative to males, with peak vulnerability arriving earlier in adolescence; males peak later in young adulthood and remain at elevated risk into midlife. Psychiatric comorbidity - particularly substance use disorders - is associated with the largest relative elevations in SA prevalence. These population-level estimates are directly applicable to EHR-based risk stratification models and can inform the development of ASD-specific clinical decision support tools that concentrate surveillance and intervention on those at demonstrably elevated risk, rather than applying uniform approaches across a heterogeneous population.

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Ancestry-Calibrated Polygenic Risk Scores Predict PTSD Trajectories in Recent Trauma Survivors and Interact with Neighborhood Resources

Webb, E. K.; Jajoo, A.; Balakundi, V.; Sendi, M. S. E.; Koenen, K. C.; Linnstaedt, S. D.; House, S. L.; An, X.; Stevens, J. S.; Neylan, T. C.; Clifford, G. D.; Jovanovic, T.; Germine, L. T.; Rauch, S. L.; Haran, J. P.; Storrow, A. B.; Lewandowski, C.; Musey, P. I.; Hendry, P. L.; Sheikh, S.; Jones, C. W.; Punches, B. E.; Hudak, L. A.; Pascual, J. L.; Seamon, M. J.; Datner, E. M.; Pearson, C.; Merchant, R. C.; Domeier, R. M.; Rathlev, N. K.; O'Neil, B. J.; Sergot, P.; Sanchez, L. D.; Bruce, S. E.; Harte, S. E.; Kessler, R. C.; McLean, S. A.; Ressler, K. J.; Daskalakis, N. P.; Harnett, N. G.

2026-07-20 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358149 medRxiv
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Objective: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) often account for a low amount of variance. Ancestry-related differences in PRS scale and variance limit cross-group comparisons. This methodological challenge further complicates gene-by-environment (GxE) analyses, given that socioenvironmental exposures are inequitably distributed across ethnoracial groups. We constructed an ancestry-calibrated polygenic risk score (AC-PRS) for PTSD in the largest longitudinal study of trauma survivors to date and investigated GxE interactions. Method: Recent trauma survivors (N=1,801) provided a blood specimen for genotyping. Six PTSD trajectories were previously identified from PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5) scores at 2-weeks, 8-weeks, 3-months, and 6-months post-trauma. Greenspace (normalized difference vegetation index [NDVI) and socioeconomic disadvantage (area deprivation index [ADI]) were derived from residential addresses. Logistic regressions examined interactions between newly developed AC-PRS and neighborhood factors on trajectories after adjusting for sociodemographic and trauma-related covariates. Secondary linear models considered GxE interactions on 6-month PCL-5 scores. Results: AC-PRS performed well across ethnoracial groups, explaining significant variability in PTSD trajectories (R2=.053). ADI moderated the association between AC-PRS and the likelihood of assignment in a high nonremitting trajectory of PTSD symptoms and severity of symptoms at 6-months (ps < .05). There were no NDVI x AC-PRS interactions in any models. Conclusions: AC-PRS captures genetic risk for PTSD in admixed trauma survivors, demonstrating good discrimination between nonremitting and resilient courses of PTSD. However, neighborhood disadvantage may modify utility of PRS for PTSD, warranting careful consideration when applying these scores across contexts.